OPINION: ADC – The New Bride With Two Husbands

Written by Ademola Lawrence

Within the e book John 4: 16-19, Jesus stated to the girl within the nicely: “Go, name your husband and return.”

“I haven’t got a husband,” she replied.

Jesus stated, “You’re proper once you say he doesn’t have a husband. The reality is, you could have 5 pairs, and the person you could have now will not be your husband.” The lady stated, “Sir, I understand that you’re a prophet.”

At that second, Jesus revealed a truth hidden behind human excuses. In the identical prophetic tone, I indicated in my earlier article, “The way forward for the opposition coverage in Nigeria: an invite to the ideological awakening” that many actors declare to be the voices of the opposition, simply politics with their purpose.

On this new article, let’s research the unusual scenario of the latest political alliance beneath the African Democratic Convention (ADC), and why she gained an applicable matter: “The brand new bride with a pair.”

Atiko Abu Bakr: Unlucky ambition
Former Vice President Ateko Abu Bakr Thabet in political chess in Nigeria. He held the place of Vice President from 1999 to 2007, however by 2005-2006, cracks appeared between him and his supervisor, President Ulsigon Obasango, after Ateko introduced his curiosity in his abandonment.

Obasango was later mirrored on this alternative in June 2022: “One of many errors I dedicated was selecting the second quantity. However as a result of it was an actual mistake, God saved me.”

This quote – from the nation and the BBC – talks about volumes. Regardless of the remorse of Obasango, Ateko has come ahead, the place he nominated the presidency beneath numerous platforms:
📌2007: AC – 2.6 million votes
📌2015: APC Primaries – 954 votes (misplaced in entrance of Bohari)
📌 2019: pdp – 11.2 million votes (misplaced to Bouhari 15.1 million votes)
📌2023: PDP – 6.9 million votes (got here second)

ATIKU’s path exhibits a sample: corresponds to platforms that present electoral capabilities as a substitute of constructing the political construction organically. Quite the opposite, even Nuhu Ribadan who ran beneath ACN in 2011 – received greater than 2 million votes, like ATIKU in 2007.

Peter Ope: Individuals’s politician
If recognition is the one foreign money, Peter Ope would be the president of Nigeria right this moment. The previous Anambera ruler served for 8 years beneath the management of APGA and he as soon as underestimated the occasion not as soon as leaving – till he did so.
After the 2015 elections, President Jonathan appointed him as president of SEC. In 2019, he joined the Individuals’s Democratic Get together as a colleague of working in ATIKU, however the ticket didn’t flip a lot in PDP strongholds.
In 2023, Obi ran beneath the Labor and the Nigerian political scene:
* Gen. Z, Christian blocs, and southeast
* Lagos received the state of Tenobo’s stronghold
* Optimizing greater than 6.1 million votes in his first single spherical. Nevertheless, the largest problem to it’s the motion of inside political dynamics and the development of alliances. Whereas his assist base is gigantic, he should study the artwork of negotiation throughout the coalitions. Driving, in any case, requires each logic and emotional intelligence. The pure logical chief could appear Robotti; One is only emotional, inconsistent. The perfect leaders Mandela, Merkel, Obama alike brings collectively.

Nasser Al -Rafi: The technocrat that become Troublemaker. Give the Riffa his dues: a pointy thoughts, former FCT minister, former governor of Kadona, and a founding member of APC. However additionally it is identified for its political contradictions and verbal missiles. Former President Obasango described it, in “My Clock” (Quantity 2, pp. 110-112), within the title of:
“Passable within the provide popularity … solely loyal to itself.” Riffa performed a pivotal function in dividing the 2023 inside of APC, and defends the transformation of energy into the south. Nevertheless, Kaduna couldn’t connect with APC PDP, profitable greater than 554,000 votes to 399,000 from APC. His ministerial candidacy has been rejected throughout the Tenobo period, and now he criticizes the identical administration that helped its intervention.
He has affect – undoubtedly – however political capital? That is uncertain.

Rotimi Amachi: 24 years, however to what finish?
Just a few have served in public positions so long as Amarachi: 8 years of speaker, 8 years as a ruler, 8 years as minister. Nevertheless, his electoral imprint is inconsistent.
* In 2015, the DG marketing campaign was unable to win in Rivers State.
* In 2019, APC was unable to be a candidate on account of chaos throughout the occasion.
* In 2023, he ranked second within the APC presidential preliminary elections (316 votes in comparison with Tinubu’s 1271) and publicly refused to assist Tinubu.
Now out of workplace, he publicly acknowledged that he was “hungry” a remark that reveals 24 years later within the authorities. Like ATIKU and OBI, he additionally promised the presidency for one interval. However moreover guarantees, what brings it tangible to an alliance?

ADC: A number of political wives within the disaster
Now to the bride itself: the African Democratic Convention. Abruptly, a brand new group of suitor, OBI, El-URFAI, and Amachi Adc finds itself within the place of energy scramble. Nevertheless, the present members cry unsuitable. The previous presidential candidate, Domby Kacciko, described it as a cluster. Authorized conflicts at the moment are anger over the reliable president. The occasion is damaged.

It is a home with two husbands, each of whom are claimed. The previous goalkeeper feels betrayal, the brand new contributors declare that they convey significance. Who actually belongs to ADC?

Ultimate concepts
Will ADC bear this political Ménage à trois? Will the bride select one husband and divorce the opposite? Or will the fully affected faction depart?
In politics, alliances have been constructed on confidence, medium answer and customary imaginative and prescient. However when ideological ambition is dominated, the inspiration turns into fragile.
We’ll quickly know inside weeks, months, or by 2027.